Track Portfolios — Confidence-Based Outcomes vs SPY
Historical performance shows higher Merkapital Confidence Scores are associated with stronger risk-adjusted returns compared to the SPY benchmark.
Disclaimer: This system is a quantitative tool for informational purposes only. It is not personalized investment advice. Past performance of the underlying research factors does not guarantee future results. The Monte Carlo simulations use simplified assumptions (log-normal returns, constant volatility, independence between stocks) that may not hold in extreme market conditions.
Analyst estimates and fundamental data are sourced from Alpha Vantage and reflect publicly available information at the time of the last data refresh. The equal-weight portfolio does not account for transaction costs, taxes, or liquidity constraints. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance, investment horizon, and tax situation before acting on any model output.